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Photo Unsplash/John Cameron
Photo Unsplash/John Cameron

Oil prices set to fall for third month

Paul Carsten - Oil prices declined yesterday and were on track to fall for the third month in a row as a strong supply outlook and questions around demand outweighed fears that Israeli strikes in Lebanon and Yemen could escalate conflict in the Middle East.

Brent crude futures for November delivery, expiring yesterday, lost 66 US cents, or 0.9%, to US$71.32 a barrel as of 1140 GMT. The more active December contract fell 41 cents, 0.6%, to US$71.13. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures lost 51 cents, 0.8%, to US$67.67 a barrel.

Both benchmarks had earlier gained more than US$1.

Brent was on track to lose more than 9% month-on-month, which would be its biggest decline since November 2022. WTI was set to decline almost 8% since the end of August.



Middle East

On Monday prices had been supported by the possibility that Iran, a key producer and member of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, may be directly drawn into a widening Middle East conflict.

Since last week Israel has escalated attacks, conducting strikes which have killed Hezbollah and Hamas leaders in Lebanon and hit Houthi targets in Yemen. The three groups are backed by Iran.

"We suspect that some oil market participants will look past this escalation given that there still has not been a major physical supply disruption and Iran has not demonstrated any appetite to enter this nearly year-long conflict," said Helima Croft of RBC Capital Markets.



China

Oil prices also had a muted response to Beijing's announcement last week of fiscal stimulus measures in the world's second-biggest economy and top oil importer.

Traders question whether the measures would be enough to boost China's weaker-than-expected demand so far this year.

Data on Monday was not encouraging for demand, showing China's manufacturing activity shrank for a fifth straight month and the services sector slowed sharply in September.

Instead, prices have been depressed by news that half a million barrels of Libyan crude exports may come back online as a central bank dispute is resolved, and a report that Saudi Arabia may stop targeting an oil price of US$100 a barrel as OPEC begins to unwind voluntary supply cuts from December. - Reuters

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Allgemeine Zeitung 2024-10-12

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Katima Mulilo: 17° | 36° Rundu: 17° | 35° Eenhana: 19° | 37° Oshakati: 20° | 37° Ruacana: 20° | 37° Tsumeb: 23° | 34° Otjiwarongo: 19° | 33° Omaruru: 23° | 37° Windhoek: 20° | 33° Gobabis: 21° | 33° Henties Bay: 13° | 19° Wind speed: 22km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 04:48, High tide: 11:26, Low Tide: 17:44, High tide: 00:02 Swakopmund: 14° | 16° Wind speed: 30km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 04:46, High tide: 11:24, Low Tide: 17:42, High tide: 00:00 Walvis Bay: 14° | 23° Wind speed: 39km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 04:46, High tide: 11:23, Low Tide: 17:42, High tide: 23:59 Rehoboth: 20° | 34° Mariental: 23° | 38° Keetmanshoop: 22° | 38° Aranos: 21° | 37° Lüderitz: 15° | 30° Ariamsvlei: 23° | 39° Oranjemund: 13° | 20° Luanda: 24° | 25° Gaborone: 21° | 35° Lubumbashi: 18° | 33° Mbabane: 16° | 32° Maseru: 17° | 32° Antananarivo: 10° | 27° Lilongwe: 22° | 32° Maputo: 20° | 33° Windhoek: 20° | 33° Cape Town: 14° | 21° Durban: 18° | 25° Johannesburg: 20° | 31° Dar es Salaam: 24° | 30° Lusaka: 20° | 32° Harare: 18° | 31° Currency: GBP to NAD 22.69 | EUR to NAD 19.02 | CNY to NAD 2.46 | USD to NAD 17.4 | DZD to NAD 0.13 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.27 | EGP to NAD 0.35 | KES to NAD 0.13 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.65 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.08 | RUB to NAD 0.18 | INR to NAD 0.21 | USD to DZD 132.83 | USD to AOA 909.1 | USD to BWP 13.28 | USD to EGP 48.53 | USD to KES 128.5 | USD to NGN 1625.33 | USD to ZAR 17.39 | USD to ZMW 26.4 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index Same 0 | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1854.97 Up +1.41% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 14101.61 Down -0.01% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 30762.32 Down -1.33% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 657.18/OZ UP +0.91% | Copper US$ 4.47/lb UP +1.10% | Zinc US$ 3 171.30/T DOWN -0.03% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 79.33/BBP DOWN -0.0052 | Platinum US$ 984.46/OZ UP +1.35% Sport results: Weather: Katima Mulilo: 17° | 36° Rundu: 17° | 35° Eenhana: 19° | 37° Oshakati: 20° | 37° Ruacana: 20° | 37° Tsumeb: 23° | 34° Otjiwarongo: 19° | 33° Omaruru: 23° | 37° Windhoek: 20° | 33° Gobabis: 21° | 33° Henties Bay: 13° | 19° Wind speed: 22km/h, Wind direction: S, Low tide: 04:48, High tide: 11:26, Low Tide: 17:44, High tide: 00:02 Swakopmund: 14° | 16° Wind speed: 30km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 04:46, High tide: 11:24, Low Tide: 17:42, High tide: 00:00 Walvis Bay: 14° | 23° Wind speed: 39km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 04:46, High tide: 11:23, Low Tide: 17:42, High tide: 23:59 Rehoboth: 20° | 34° Mariental: 23° | 38° Keetmanshoop: 22° | 38° Aranos: 21° | 37° Lüderitz: 15° | 30° Ariamsvlei: 23° | 39° Oranjemund: 13° | 20° Luanda: 24° | 25° Gaborone: 21° | 35° Lubumbashi: 18° | 33° Mbabane: 16° | 32° Maseru: 17° | 32° Antananarivo: 10° | 27° Lilongwe: 22° | 32° Maputo: 20° | 33° Windhoek: 20° | 33° Cape Town: 14° | 21° Durban: 18° | 25° Johannesburg: 20° | 31° Dar es Salaam: 24° | 30° Lusaka: 20° | 32° Harare: 18° | 31° Economic Indicators: Currency: GBP to NAD 22.69 | EUR to NAD 19.02 | CNY to NAD 2.46 | USD to NAD 17.4 | DZD to NAD 0.13 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.27 | EGP to NAD 0.35 | KES to NAD 0.13 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.65 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.08 | RUB to NAD 0.18 | INR to NAD 0.21 | USD to DZD 132.83 | USD to AOA 909.1 | USD to BWP 13.28 | USD to EGP 48.53 | USD to KES 128.5 | USD to NGN 1625.33 | USD to ZAR 17.39 | USD to ZMW 26.4 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index Same 0 | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1854.97 Up +1.41% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 14101.61 Down -0.01% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 30762.32 Down -1.33% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 657.18/OZ UP +0.91% | Copper US$ 4.47/lb UP +1.10% | Zinc US$ 3 171.30/T DOWN -0.03% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 79.33/BBP DOWN -0.0052 | Platinum US$ 984.46/OZ UP +1.35%